Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 4.066817 4.842783 5.706233 6.735316 7.925294 9.254870 10.849564
2025-09-14 2.779946 3.725765 4.888322 6.410600 8.338117 10.683106 13.735726
2025-09-21 2.110379 3.121965 4.471582 6.378053 8.971126 12.340207 17.006964
2025-09-28 1.662814 2.682292 4.142502 6.342616 9.519409 13.875975 20.221802
2025-10-05 1.455257 2.526383 4.154769 6.742630 10.665690 16.284292 24.801865
2025-10-12 1.251037 2.327052 4.056157 6.941960 11.514069 18.321959 29.014806
2025-10-19 1.106924 2.193174 4.028717 7.229440 12.502491 20.626268 33.784860
2025-10-26 0.942376 1.989199 3.848755 7.234088 13.027149 22.249857 37.634470
2025-11-02 0.771829 1.738643 3.545653 6.981015 13.086141 23.125437 40.361438
2025-11-09 0.635341 1.525445 3.273370 6.737730 13.119778 23.939684 43.023314
2025-11-16 0.551863 1.403836 3.152817 6.749979 13.589773 25.498912 47.000506
2025-11-23 0.481945 1.297065 3.043800 6.766018 14.059568 27.081869 51.114019
2025-11-30 0.411911 1.177250 2.893462 6.688956 14.361766 28.420508 54.954223
2025-12-07 0.334815 1.022515 2.643066 6.373862 14.172371 28.860433 57.247586
2025-12-14 0.289737 0.938559 2.535750 6.343744 14.536914 30.337093 61.497680
2025-12-21 0.251094 0.862420 2.433441 6.309145 14.884405 31.801188 65.815669
2025-12-28 0.240566 0.863949 2.518889 6.707508 16.170059 35.153727 73.872380
2026-01-04 0.220773 0.833232 2.518657 6.905985 17.045024 37.760331 80.667124
2026-01-11 0.206787 0.817283 2.553882 7.192169 18.134794 40.864094 88.601169
2026-01-18 0.182850 0.762913 2.477902 7.196803 18.597065 42.728408 94.218979
2026-01-25 0.153087 0.680102 2.308872 6.944888 18.449387 43.323537 97.347299
2026-02-01 0.128166 0.606664 2.152520 6.702719 18.296135 43.887926 100.436459
2026-02-08 0.113895 0.568969 2.095090 6.714913 18.746177 45.762920 106.311283